Title

Weakening TPR–MBER correlation: Marker of success in India's malaria elimination progress

Authors

Kapil Prajapat^1,*, Yeluri Sudeepa Libny¹, E.A Syed Ashish¹, Pankaj Prasad¹, Alekhya Yalavarthi², Ankit Das³, Kapil Chaudhary⁴ & Ishita Jain²

Affiliation

¹Department of Community & Family Medicine, All India Institute of Medical Sciences, Bhopal, Madhya Pradesh, India; ²All India Institute of Medical Sciences, Bhopal, Madhya Pradesh, India; ³Department of General Medicine, All India Institute of Medical Sciences, Bhopal, Madhya Pradesh, India; ⁴Department of General Medicine, Mahatma Gandhi Memorial Medical College, Indore, Madhya Pradesh, India; *Corresponding author

Email

Yeluri Sudeepa Libny - E-mail: libnyyeluri@gmail.com
E.A Syed Ashish - E-mail: Syedashish@gmail.com
Pankaj Prasad - E-mail: pankaj.cfm@aiimsbhopal.edu.in
Alekhya Yalavarthi - E-mail: alekhyayalavarthi18@gmail.com
Ankit Das - E-mail: ankit.rgsr@gmail.com
Kapil Chaudhary - E-mail: Kapil77260@gmail.com
Ishita Jain - E-mail: ishitajain1506@gmail.com

Kapil Prajapat - E-mail: kapil008pra@gmail.com

Article Type

Research Article

Date

Received February 1, 2026; Revised February 28, 2026; Accepted February 28, 2026, Published February 28, 2026

Abstract

Malaria incidence in Madhya Pradesh has declined in recent years, reflecting strengthened surveillance and control measures. We analysed 2020–2024 Monthly Malaria Information System data to assess trends in transmission and the evolving relationship between the Monthly Blood Examination Rate (MBER) and Test Positivity Rate (TPR). A progressively weakening correlation between MBER and TPR was observed, indicating improved surveillance saturation and reduced underlying transmission. Thus, we show the potential utility of the MBER–TPR correlation as a dynamic indicator for monitoring progress toward malaria elimination.

Keywords

Malaria, Madhya Pradesh, monthly blood examination rate (MBER), test positivity rate (TPR), surveillance, NCVBDC, correlation

Citation

Prajapat et al. Bioinformation 22(2): 1070-1074 (2026)

Edited by

P Kangueane

ISSN

0973-2063

Publisher

Biomedical Informatics

License

This is an Open Access article which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly credited. This is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License.